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The Principal Blog®

Investment management insights and commentary

The end of the “New Normal”

Nearly a decade of crises produced a prolonged period of subpar economic activity. First there was the financial crisis, then the European debt crisis, and finally the 2015-2016 commodity price rout. Nominal GDP growth collapsed. In fact, in 2015, world nominal GDP contracted as commodity and oil prices floundered. Feeble growth came about because of

Posted by Robin Anderson, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Principal Global Investors on November 13, 2018

Less is more

Four score and seven years ago… Abraham Lincoln’s Gettysburg Address was not the keynote address on November 19, 1863 at the dedication of the Soldiers’ National Cemetery.  It certainly wasn’t the longest speech of the day with most counts showing only 271 words.  It was however, the most memorable, going down as one of the

Posted by Jerry Ripperger, VP of Consulting, the Principal Financial Group, Principal Securities Registered Representative on November 7, 2018

A housing market stumble

Housing is a key leading indicator for the US economy. In fact, according to Edward Leamer’s 2007 National Bureau of Economic Research Paper Housing is the Business Cycle, weak housing and consumer durables sectors have preceded eight recessions since World War II. Recently, housing data have turned down. Should we be concerned about recession, or

Posted by Robin Anderson, Ph.D., Senior Economist, Principal Global Investors on October 30, 2018

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